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 Posted by Mike Selvaggio in General on September 22nd, 2008 at 12:29 PM


Here is the latest, looks like inventory is getting to where we need it to be.


The Economy
Housing starts fell to a 17-year low in August as slower conditions in the housing market continue to force builders to pullback on building activity.  Total starts fell 6.2% to a seasonally-adjusted annual rate of 895,000 in August.  Declines in both single and multi-family housing starts contributed to the overall slowdown in building.  Building permits also continued to correct in August with total permits falling 8.9% to an annual rate of 854,000 units.  Both single and multi-family building permits posted monthly declines to drag issuances to a fresh 26-year low.

Leading indicators fell again in August signaling that further sluggishness can be expected in the coming months.  Leading indicators posted a 0.50 point drop in August while the index for both June and July were revised higher by 0.10 points. The leading index now stands at 100.80, down from an upwardly revised July figure of 101.30. The index is down 1.0 point from its levels six months ago when it was 101.80. This is the second straight month that the leading index has posted a monthly decline.

The economy continued to shed jobs with total non-farm payrolls falling by 84,000 in August.  This is the eighth straight month that the economy has posted job losses while the nation’s unemployment rate has now jumped to a five-year high of 6.1%.

Housing Market
National average mortgage rates declined to 5.78% in the latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey released weekly by Freddie Mac on September 18th.  This is the fifth straight week that rates have declined and the lowest they have been since mid-February.  In the week ending September 12th, the MBA’s seasonally-adjusted Purchase Index increased to 380.4 from 371.5 in the previous week.  The latest figure reflects a 2.4 percent increase from last week but a 15.84 percent drop from the same period last year.  Falling mortgage rates have caused purchase applications to increase for four straight weeks while also sparking a jump in refinance activity.

Both new and existing home sales increased in July.  New home sales in July increased from its lowest levels since September 2001 last month.  Sales increased 2.4% in July to a seasonally-adjusted 515,000 homes, up from a revised June figure of 503,000.  Sales for the previous three months, however, were revised lower by 46,000 units.  The number of new homes for sale continued to decline as builders continue to scale back production.  New home inventory declined to 416,000 which is the lowest it has been since October 2004.  In July, median new home prices increased for the second straight month to $230,700.

Annualized sales of total existing homes in July rebounded to its strongest pace since February.  Sales increased 3.1% from June levels to 5,000, 000 units.  Sales of existing homes are down 13.2% from the 5.76 million units in July 2007.  Median existing home prices in July declined to $212,400 from $215,100 in June.  This is the first time since February that median existing home prices posted a monthly decline.  The number of existing homes for sale increased 3.87% to 4.669 million units.  At the current sales pace, there are 11.2 months of existing homes supply on the market which is an all-time high.




 Posted by Mike Selvaggio in General on August 11th, 2008 at 3:16 PM


Housing Market
New and existing home sales both declined in June.  New home sales in June declined for the second straight month after posting its first monthly increase since October 2007 in April.  Sales eased 0.6% in June to a seasonally-adjusted 530,000 homes, down from a revised May figure of 533,000.  Sales for the previous three months, however, were revised higher by 50,000 units.  The number of new homes for sale continued to decline as builders continue to scale back production.  New home inventory declined to 425,000 which is the lowest it has been since November 2004.  In June, median new home prices rebounded from their lowest levels since December to $230,900.

Annualized sales of total existing homes in June declined after posting its first monthly increase since February last month.  Sales declined 2.6% from May levels to 4,860,000 units.  Sales of existing homes are down 15.5% from the 5.75 million units in June 2007.  Median existing home prices in June increased for the fourth straight month to $215,100 from a revised $207,900 in May.  This is the highest median existing home prices have been since August 2007.  The number of existing homes for sale increased a slight 0.18% to 4.49 million units.  At the current sales pace, there are 11.1 months of existing homes supply on the market.  Existing home affordability declined for the fourth straight month due to increases in both mortgage rates and existing home prices in June.

National average mortgage rates declined to 6.52% in the latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey released weekly by Freddie Mac on July 31st.  Rates had been at their highest levels since August 2007 in the previous week.  In the week ending July 25th, the MBA’s seasonally-adjusted Purchase Index declined to 309.5 from 335.6 in the previous week.  This is the third straight week that the purchase index has declined and the lowest it has been since February 2003.  The latest figure reflects a 7.78 percent decrease from last week and a 25.71 percent drop from the same period last year.




 Posted by Mike Selvaggio in General on July 16th, 2008 at 11:08 AM


 

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Personal Property
How to Sell a House, When You Have to Sell It Now

Seven tips for homeowners who can't wait until the market turns around
By DAVID CROOK
July 14, 2008; Page R1

So you say you're selling your house?

Hey, it could be worse. You could be selling a Hummer.

If you've been waiting for a good offer to come through, this probably isn't exactly big news to you: This is the worst home-selling market since Herbert Hoover was president. In much of the country, prices are already way down and probably heading even further south. Houses are sitting on the market for months longer than sellers expected.

Need to sell your house? Real-estate agents in Greenwich and Wilton, Conn., offer tips to Paul Lin of The Wall Street Journal Digital Network on how to sell a house in a slowing market.

And don't think this is just a momentary lull, a short slowdown before the market recovers and then takes off again. What you see today is the market you have, for now and, quite possibly, for a long time to come.

"At best, I think we're a year away from the bottom," says Sally Bodmer, who has sold Tampa-area real estate for 31 years and has never seen a worse selling climate. She operates mainly in the newer suburbs on the far eastern edge of the metropolitan area. It was a super-hot area in 2005, when developers couldn't build houses fast enough. "Now," she says, "you can't give them away."

To be sure, things are not awful everywhere. Prices in metropolitan areas bypassed by the Big Bubble -- places such as Charlotte, N.C., or Rochester, N.Y. -- have held relatively firm or risen modestly through the Big Bust. And in some of the worst markets, elite properties and houses in the best neighborhoods may still buck the trends.

But even the perennial playgrounds of the upper crust aren't immune. According to Zillow, a real-estate Web site, prices in Palm Beach, Fla., are down about 10% from last year. Prices are down 13% in Santa Barbara, Calif.

THE JOURNAL REPORT
[See the full report]
 See the complete Your Money Matters report.

So what's a home seller to do? What does it take to sell a house today?

If your job or life circumstances leave you no alternative other than to sell in this market, you must be prepared to go well beyond the usual feints and gimmicks if you want to get potential buyers in the front door and, ultimately, to the closing table. By all means, feng shui the living room, bury a statue of St. Joseph in the front yard and bake brownies before the open house.

But if you really want to sell the place, you need to think and act like a salesperson. Most important, you must separate your emotional attachment to your family home from your financial interest in your family's largest asset. Selling a house is business, and you must approach the sale in a businesslike manner.

Here are seven points to keep in mind:

1. DON'T WAIT AROUND.

Even in the better housing areas, it's taking a long time to sell houses; and in the hardest-hit metro areas, inventories of unsold homes are stretching well past 180 days.

So, don't try to sit out the market. That's what hundreds of other timid sellers are doing, each of them hoping -- somehow, some way -- that hanging on the sidelines will improve prices and, ultimately improve his or her chances for selling success. It won't. Not if you expect to sell anytime soon. If you want your place sold, the best way to make sure that happens is to put it up for sale.

Obviously, you should take advantage of your local market cycles -- early spring is usually better for selling in much of the country -- but otherwise don't try timing the market. You won't have any better luck than a stock trader who's always holding out for the market highs or lows.

2. FIX IT UP AND CLEAN IT UP.

Buyers are taking your house out on a date. It has to make a good impression.

[Image]

Don't spend a lot of money -- absolutely no big-ticket renovations -- but do see that everything is in good repair. And give the place a new paint job and a general sprucing up. (Caution: This won't necessarily give you any pricing advantage over less fixed-up places, but it will attract buyers and keep them interested.)

As you get closer to the date that the house actually goes up for sale, start moving out by decluttering the place. No buyer wants to see a house filled to the rafters with other people's things. They want to imagine their stuff filling the place. "Stage" the place with only enough furniture to make it look livable; put the rest in storage.

3. PRICE IT CHEAPLY.

Don't fight the market by trying to price your house at bubble-era levels or by factoring in all those improvements you made. It won't fly.

Set a realistic, salable price on day one. Don't let the house hang around on the market as you gradually lower the price. Forget what you think the house should be worth or what it was worth three years ago. That's not what it's worth today.

Smart buyers will be looking for bargains. So you must set your price below comparable nearby properties. Look at the asking prices of neighboring houses, and set your price to beat them. If prices in your area are generally down 20% from where they were at the bubble peak in 2005, then price your house 25% to 30% below its peak bubble value. Your area down 40%? Be prepared to take just half of what the house was worth three years ago. Yes, it's painful. But if you want to sell, you don't have much choice.

And remember: In much of the country, renting is still a better deal right now than buying. As you try to settle on a price, look at rents on comparable properties. Buyers are not likely to be counting on huge price appreciation, as they did during the bubble, so they may be less willing to take on the higher monthly costs of home buying and owning. You must set a price that makes someone's prospective mortgage and home-owning costs look like a better deal than a month's rent.

4. HIRE A TOP REAL-ESTATE AGENT.

Get the best, most aggressive selling (listing) agent you can find.

When everything was selling before it even hit the market, of course, you didn't need the best. You just needed the cheapest. But not these days.

Fortunately, in this market, real-estate brokers are even more anxious than you. They're eager to get whatever work they can, so don't rely on your cousin with the real-estate license or your best friend's wife.

Ask, instead, for the local real-estate office's top salesperson. All offices have one or two sellers who greatly outperform their colleagues. That's who you want.

Interview various agents and insist that they present you with a well-conceived marketing plan that goes way beyond the usual Internet page, one or two open houses and a yard sign. (Think about using a professional photographer for multiple shots on the primary Web listing, your house as the featured "home of the week" in the local newspaper, a decorating segment on a morning chat show, a stop on the local garden club's spring tour.)

[Image]

Sellers of higher-end properties should be able to negotiate a lower commission percentage, but this is no time to quibble over a couple of percentage points. Also, offer the agent a big bonus if he or she sells the house in 30 days or at your asking price. Offer other agents bonuses if they bring in the ultimate buyer.

5. PROMOTE. PROMOTE. PROMOTE.

Don't rely on the agent to do all the work. The agent should pay the usual marketing costs, but you should be prepared to pony up for extras, especially if you insist on more expensive or untraditional promotions.

You want the house listed regularly in local newspaper classifieds and, if it's a special, high-end property in a desirable location, in national publications, too.

Make sure your house is on the leading real-estate Web sites; Trulia, Zillow, Cyberhomes, Eppraisal and Realtor.com are some of the top ones.

Beyond that, get really creative. Advertise in corporate newsletters and intranet listings. Check in with local relocation firms that help transferring corporate executives find new homes. List the house on eBay. Put it on Craigslist. Put it in your church bulletin.

Trophy house in an upscale neighborhood? Hire a string quartet for the open house. Something a bit more midmarket in a family-friendly subdivision? Put a clown on the corner handing out brochures.

6. PLAY THE BANKER.

As bad as things are, there's one big factor in your favor: the tight credit market. If you have no mortgage you have to pay off, your strongest selling point might be your ability to finance all or a substantial part of a buyer's purchase.

You're a lot more flexible than a bank that has the Federal Reserve looking over its shoulders, so you might even be able to charge a higher interest rate than a commercial lender as well as command a higher sale price. (You'll need a real-estate lawyer to make sure everything is done to protect you and an accountant to set up a payment system. Peer-to-peer lenders such as virginmoneyus.com have systems to handle mortgage payments.)

Worst case? Your borrower defaults and you take the property back. And sell it again.

7. TAKE THE OFFER.

If any qualified buyer comes in with a reasonable offer, be prepared to accept it.

You don't want to lose the deal by digging in your heels over a few dollars. Every real-estate office keeps records that show the percentage difference between asking and selling prices, so it's easy to figure what's an appropriate offer and what's not.

Negotiate, of course, but recognize that the buyer has a lot more clout than you do. Your house, as wonderful as you think it is, is worth only as much as someone is willing to pay for it.

And that, unfortunately, will probably be a lot less than you think.

--Mr. Crook is editor of The Wall Street Journal Sunday and author of "The Wall Street Journal Complete Real-Estate Investing Guidebook." He can be reached at david.crook@wsj.com.




 Posted by Mike Selvaggio in General on July 2nd, 2008 at 5:18 PM


More Home Owners Seeking Energy-Efficiency Upgrades

As home owners grapple with skyrocketing energy costs, more of them are turning to remodelers for money-saving solutions, according to a recent NAHB quarterly Remodeling Market Index (RMI).

“It’s no surprise with rising energy prices and other costs draining the piggy bank that home owners want to maximize home performance with green remodeling options,” said NAHB Remodelers Chairman Lonny Rutherford, CGR, CAPS, CGP, president of Legacy Construction, Inc. in Farmington, N.M.

According to the RMI, 33% of the remodelers surveyed said that they are increasingly called on to improve the energy efficiency of their client’s homes.

The RMI measures remodeler perceptions of market demand for current and future residential remodeling projects.

The growing home owner interest in green remodeling comes just as NAHB prepares for the upcoming National Green Building Standard, which includes the only consensus rating system for remodeling. The standard provides a roadmap for green remodeling and assures consumers that remodelers know how to plan and complete authentically green remodels.

According to the survey, remodelers have installed a number of efficiency-enhancing products in recent months, including:

  • Windows — 73% of surveyed remodelers installed more energy-efficient windows that are insulated to prevent outdoor heat exchange.

  • Insulation — 65% made upgrades such as insulation replacement and spraying foam or fiber insulation into enclosed walls and roof cavities, while 27% insulated foundations and 52% installed insulated exterior doors.

  • High-efficiency HVAC systems — 56% of surveyed remodelers installed them.

  • High-efficiency kitchen appliances ― 47% installed them.

  • Water-saving faucets and fixtures ― 46% installed them.


“Newer technologies are also quickly gaining in popularity,” said Rutherford. “Thirty-five percent of remodelers reported installing tankless water heaters, which can save on energy costs by heating water on demand instead of continuously eating energy.”

For more information, e-mail Kelly Mack, or call her at 800-368-5242 x8451.





 Posted by Mike Selvaggio in General on June 25th, 2008 at 11:25 AM


Subject: A Neat Tip

 Go to the kitchen and check this out for yourself.  Whoever looks at the end of your aluminum foil box?

      We all use aluminum foil, which is great stuff, but sometimes it can be a pain.  You know, like when you are in the middle of doing something and you try to pull some foil out and the roll comes out of the box.  Then you have to put the roll back in the box and start over.  Well, I would like to share this with you.  Yesterday I went to throw out an empty Reynolds foil box and for some reason I turned it and looked at the end of the box. And written on the end it said, "Press here to lock end." Right there on the end of the box is a tab to lock the roll in place. How long has this little locking tab been there?????
      I looked at a generic brand of aluminum foil and it had one too.  Then I looked at a box of Saran wrap and it had one too!   I cannot count the number of times the Saran wrap roll has jumped out when I was trying to cover something up.  I am sharing this in case you also did not know this.

 





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